24 sep 10 AccuScore: Flacco hurting Ravens

The Bears had only a 20 percent chance of starting the season 2-0 and they had only a 30 percent chance of beating the Cowboys on the road. With the victory, the Bears essentially won 0.7 more wins than expected, a huge improvement in a 16-game season. They are up 26.6 percent this nfl jerseys
week. The Bears’ gain was the Vikings’ loss. AccuScore recommended the Vikings pay the price for Vincent Jackson(notes) because he improved their playoff chances by nearly 10 percentage points if he were ready to play in Week 5. Without him the Vikings are now behind the 2-0 Packers, who saw a nice 10.8 percentage point bump largely because of the Vikings’ struggles. The Lions have some dynamic talent, but their playoff chances have dropped to under 1 percent.
How did the 49ers lose, start 0-2 and still improve their playoff chances by nearly 17 points? They had a “good” loss in Week 2 while the Seahawks, Cardinals and Rams all suffered bad ones. All of the NFC West teams are averaging under eight wins per simulation. The 49ers are down only 0-1 in their division, QB Alex Smith was impressive in a loss and the defense looked great against the Saints. AccuScore says future on-field performance will help San Francisco ultimately take the division, despite the 0-2 start. Seattle’s defense was destroyed by New Orleans Saints jersey
Denver and the offense is still struggling with turnovers. Arizona is not expected to get the job done with Kurt Warner(notes) dancing and not playing football.
The Eagles improved 14 percentage points thanks to the losses by the rest of the NFC East teams. With the statistical performance we have in simulations, AccuScore shows Philly is better with Michael Vick(notes) starting at least for now. The Giants defense is looking as bad as it did the second half of last season, but they are still clinging to a slight lead in the division (32.1 percent chance of winning NFC East) over the Eagles (28.9) and Dallas (29.9). The slow starts by the NFC East teams combined with wild-card competition from the NFC North and NFC South has hurt all NFC East teams.

New Orleans’ offense is not clicking but the Saints are still 2-0, and even with the injury to Reggie Bush(notes) they are the heavy 86 percent favorite to repeat as NFC South champs. The Falcons were very impressive against the Cardinals but Matt Ryan(notes) needs to show he can put up big numbers Colts jersey
against top teams in the league, something he has not done in his career. If the Falcons can upset the Saints in Week 3 then they could easily flip-flop with the Saints. Tampa Bay had only an 18 percent chance of starting 2-0 this season but the competition gets much tougher, starting in Week 3 against the Steelers. The Buccaneers are clearly improved but they have only a 17 percent chance of making the playoffs.